Will GPT-5.6 Luna's headline price drop so input tokens cost under $0.20/million or output tokens under $1.20/million?

🤖 Context

YES if OpenAI's official public pricing page, official pricing documentation, or an official OpenAI press release published no later than September 30, 2026 shows a public headline list price for GPT-5.6 Luna with either an input-token price below $0.20 per million input tokens or an output-token price below $1.20 per million output tokens. Volume discounts, custom enterprise deals, temporary coupons, or promotional offers that lower effective prices for specific customers but do not change the public headline list price do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

arstechnica.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against arstechnica.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will GPT-5.6 Luna's headline price drop so input tokens cost under $0.20/million or output tokens under $1.20/million?” real-money betting?

No. “Will GPT-5.6 Luna's headline price drop so input tokens cost under $0.20/million or output tokens under $1.20/million?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.