Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Oct 10YES if, between 07:01 UTC on 25 September 2026 and no later than October 9, 2026, Glasgow City Council publicly issues formal written redundancy notices reported to affect 23,000 or more Glasgow City Council employees as part of its 'fire and rehire' plan. Preferably this is via an official Glasgow City Council statement, but credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets (for example BBC, STV, PA, The Guardian) confirming that such formal notices were issued is sufficient. Draft, proposed, threatened or withdrawn notices do not count. Only formal written notices actually issued to staff and reported as such count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 401 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled❌ NO — the headline number is just too big to be real

12%
Stable · last 24h

60%
-9% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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