Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

60%
+5% last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 16YES if GitHub or Microsoft publishes an official announcement or updates GitHub’s Copilot billing documentation no later than October 15, 2026 that changes the numeric per‑token rates or the monthly credit allotments for any paid Copilot plan listed in the Ars Technica article. The article lists the $10/month Pro plan (1,500 credits), $39 Pro+ (7,000 credits), and $100 Copilot Max (20,000 credits). Promotional one‑time coupons, temporary refunds, or third‑party reseller pricing do not count. The authoritative source is GitHub or Microsoft.
How markets are built and settled41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: GitHub has not changed the token prices or the monthly credit allocations for the targeted paid plans — Copilot Pro (1,500 credits), Pro+ (7,000), and Max (20,000).
Source: docs.github.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
60%
+5% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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