Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if GitHub or Microsoft publishes an official announcement or updates GitHub’s Copilot billing documentation no later than October 15, 2026 that changes the numeric per‑token rates or the monthly credit allotments for any paid Copilot plan listed in the Ars Technica article. The article lists the $10/month Pro plan (1,500 credits), $39 Pro+ (7,000 credits), and $100 Copilot Max (20,000 credits). Promotional one‑time coupons, temporary refunds, or third‑party reseller pricing do not count. The authoritative source is GitHub or Microsoft.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 17 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith about 49 days left, it seems likely GitHub will announce changes given how often they update pricing. They’ve been under pressure; expect some movement on this by mid-October.

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