Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if, no later than August 31, 2026, there is a public, verifiable record that Bajcetic is under contract with or officially registered to Getafe CF's senior first team and therefore eligible for official matches. Acceptable evidence includes an official announcement from Getafe CF or Liverpool FC, LaLiga listing the player registered to Getafe, or the player appearing on an official Getafe first-team matchday team sheet. A mere media report of a verbal agreement, a medical without registration, or an agreement that registers the player to a different club counts as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBajcetic won't end up at Getafe by the deadline. With just 13 days left, no official announcement or registration yet, it's looking unlikely he’ll be signed in time.

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81%
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66%
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53%
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62%
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29%
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