Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if George Russell is classified in a higher finishing position (a numerically lower place) than Lewis Hamilton in the official final classification for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix on 23 August 2026, according to the FIA's official final classification or Formula1.com's official race results. If one driver is classified and the other is not (DNS or not classified), the classified driver is considered to have finished ahead. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 15 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just over a week to go, Russell's been showing solid form lately while Hamilton's had some ups and downs. I’d back Russell to finish ahead this time.

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