Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20This market will resolve to 'YES' if George Russell finishes ahead of Kimi Antonelli in the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps on July 19, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell or if Russell does not finish the race.
How markets are built and settled23%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied race reports list Kimi Antonelli as the winner of the 2026 Belgian Grand Prix (Spa, 19 July 2026) and show George Russell as having retired / DNF. Formula1.com's race report (Jul 19, 2026) explicitly states Antonelli won and that Russell retired; independent reports in The-Race and GPFans give the same final classification with Antonelli P1 and Russell DNF. Under the market rules (NO if Antonelli finished ahead of Russell or if Russell did not finish), the correct settlement is NO.
Source: formula1.comSources used to resolve this market
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