Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

22%
-11% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Kalshi market with ticker KXATPMATCH-26SEP02SAKTIA-TIA is finalized as YES for Frances Tiafoe winning the Sakamoto vs Tiafoe match in the 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 64, and that Kalshi settlement reflects the match started after a ball was played. NO if that exact Kalshi ticker is finalized as NO. This market resolves to Kalshi's final YES/NO outcome, with the Kalshi market page as the authoritative source; the underlying match result can be corroborated by the ATP Tour or ESPN.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 45 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTiafoe has been in solid form and Sakamoto is a challenging opponent, but I expect Tiafoe to edge this one out. He's got the game to advance in the US Open.

22%
-11% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h
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