Will France’s unemployment rate remain at or above 8.0 % in Q2 2026?
66%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 7🤖 Context
YES if France’s official ILO‑based unemployment rate (as published by INSEE) for Q2 2026 is reported at 8.0 % or higher; NO if it is below 8.0 %.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent data sources report ILO-based, seasonally adjusted unemployment for France in late Q2/June 2026 at about 8.2–8.3%. Eurostat (as reported by zpravy.kurzy.cz, 2026-07-30) shows monthly ILO rates of 8.2% for April, May and June 2026, implying a Q2 (Apr–Jun) average ≈ 8.2%. Statista (updated 2026-08-07) reports June 2026 at 8.2%, and TradingEconomics reports June 2026 at 8.3%. All three independent sources place the relevant ILO-based rate at or above 8.0%, so the Q2 2026 ILO unemployment rate meets the >= 8.0% threshold.
Source: zpravy.kurzy.czKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 66%
- Predictions made
- 66
- Credits staked
- 1,217
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 2, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 7, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- zpravy.kurzy.cz, statista.com, tradingeconomics.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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