Will France’s new ESA‑backed in‑orbit servicing mission ('PRELUDE') perform its first operational debris‑capture demonstration by end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the PRELUDE mission conducts at least one successful capture of space debris (in‑orbit servicing demonstration) before December 31, 2026, as confirmed by ESA or ClearSpace. NO if no such successful capture occurs by that date.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against spacewatch.global. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

44

Comments

0

Opened

May 27, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

spacewatch.global

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 39% and NO 61%, based on 6 predictions and 44 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spacewatch.global once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France’s new ESA‑backed in‑orbit servicing mission ('PRELUDE') perform its first operational debris‑capture demonstration by end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France’s new ESA‑backed in‑orbit servicing mission ('PRELUDE') perform its first operational debris‑capture demonstration by end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.