Will France's national thermal indicator meet the 'canicule' threshold?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's published national thermal indicator for any calendar day between August 12 and August 16, 2026 (inclusive) meets or exceeds Météo‑France's official 'canicule' threshold, otherwise NO. Use Météo‑France's published daily bulletin or national-indicator publication as the primary source. If Météo‑France publishes neither a numeric indicator nor an explicit statement for those dates, the market resolves YES if at least two independent major French news agencies (for example AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde, TF1) report that Météo‑France declared the national indicator met or exceeded the 'canicule' threshold on a day in that period, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 20 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

20

Credits staked

600

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 20 predictions and 600 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France's national thermal indicator meet the 'canicule' threshold?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France's national thermal indicator meet the 'canicule' threshold?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.