🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a specific existing The Legend of Zelda game be named for a 40th‑anniversary remake?
95%
+1% last 24h
2197 bets · 54.8K credits69
Details →
CultureOpened Aug 26 · Results Aug 28
Will France google Sonia Mabrouk more than James Blunt on August 27?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 99 bettors💎 2.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 28🤖 Context
The rule says the market is yes if Google Trends' public comparison for the exact queries 'sonia mabrouk' and 'james blunt', restricted to the UTC day August 27, 2026, shows the aggregated interest-over-time for 'sonia mabrouk' is strictly greater than for 'james blunt'. On August 27, 2026 (UTC), Google Trends reported aggregated interest-over-time values of 753 for 'sonia mabrouk' and 8 for 'james blunt' across 173 comparison points. Because 753 is strictly greater than 8 for that UTC day, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-08-27: "sonia mabrouk" = 753, "james blunt" = 8 across 173 comparison points. "sonia mabrouk" was searched more (98% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "sonia mabrouk" > "james blunt", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 99
- Credits staked
- 2,728
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 27, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
On August 27, I doubt Sonia Mabrouk will surpass James Blunt in Google searches. Her recent interest is limited, with only 61 points over the last 30 days, compared to Blunt's potential appeal.
Related predictions
See all →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will GTA 6 have purchasable in-game microtransactions at launch on November 19?
40%
Stable · last 24h
5722 bets · 196.7K credits93
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 17
Will Nvidia change the Nvidia App so the "Allow Agents to control Nvidia App" setting is disabled by default?
65%
Stable · last 24h
1734 bets · 66.8K credits25
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 20
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released and playable on both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19?
95%
Stable · last 24h
1713 bets · 50.4K credits26
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 31 · Results Dec 1
Will Microsoft announce a per-account monthly hours limit for Game Pass cloud streaming?
58%
Stable · last 24h
1046 bets · 25.6K credits14
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will a video game based on the 1978 film 'Halloween' be commercially released?
91%
Stable · last 24h
941 bets · 23.3K credits9
Details →