🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 1
Will both Astrea: Six-Side Oracles and Mechabellum be free to claim on the Epic Games Store?
95%
+12% last 24h
375 bets · 18.4K credits3
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CultureOpened Sep 24 · Results Sep 26
Will France google Jean-Jacques Goldman more than Pierre Arditi on September 25?
52%
Stable · last 24h
📊 174 bettors💎 8.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 26🤖 Context
The market required that on the UTC day September 25, 2026 Google Trends show strictly greater aggregated search interest in France for "jean-jacques goldman" than for "pierre arditi". On that date Google Trends reported 883 for "jean-jacques goldman" and 530 for "pierre arditi" across 173 comparison points, a gap of about 25%. Because 883 is strictly greater than 530 and the lead is roughly 25%, above the decisive 20% floor, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes52%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-25: "jean-jacques goldman" = 883, "pierre arditi" = 530 across 173 comparison points. "jean-jacques goldman" was searched more (25% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "jean-jacques goldman" > "pierre arditi", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 52%
- Predictions made
- 174
- Credits staked
- 8,388
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Sep 24, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 26, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
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