Will Justin Bieber get more than 16.25 million global YouTube views in a single day?

55%
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84%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 29The rule required Google Trends to show a strictly higher aggregated interest total for "cindy crawford" than for "pierre arditi" in France on the UTC day September 28, 2026. Google Trends recorded totals of 573 for "cindy crawford" and 18 for "pierre arditi" across 173 comparison points that day. Because 573 is clearly higher than 18, with a 94% margin, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled84%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-28: "cindy crawford" = 573, "pierre arditi" = 18 across 173 comparison points. "cindy crawford" was searched more (94% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "cindy crawford" > "pierre arditi", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledCindy Crawford led the search interest over the last month, and with the added allure of nostalgia, she’ll likely surpass Pierre Arditi on the 28th.

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57%
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95%
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91%
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43%
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95%
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