🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 12
Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?
69%
+1% last 24h
375 bets · 8.1K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 23 · Results Aug 8
Will France expel at least one Russian diplomat over the July 2026 cyber‑sabotage and propaganda campaign between July 24 and August 7, 2026?
33%
Stable · last 24h
📊 32 bettors💎 663 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 8🤖 Context
YES if the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs, the official website of the French Government, or the Élysée posts an official press release between 00:00 on July 24, 2026 and 23:59 on August 7, 2026 Paris time (UTC+2) that names one or more Russian diplomats as persona non grata and orders them to leave France citing the July 2026 cyber‑sabotage/propaganda campaign. Otherwise NO. If the only record of an expulsion is a private diplomatic note not published on those official sites, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 33%
- Predictions made
- 32
- Credits staked
- 663
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 23, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 12, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh come on, of course they'll kick out at least one diplomat. they can't just sit there with their thumbs up their... you know. 😂
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