Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Kalshi finalizes its market titled 'Flavio Cobolli wins - Flavio Cobolli' with a final recorded outcome of YES. NO if Kalshi finalizes that market with a final recorded outcome of NO. If Kalshi does not mark the market as finalized, or finalizes it to a non-binary settlement (for example a fair price like $0.50), this contract will remain unresolved.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledCobolli has a solid chance to take this one, especially given Fils' recent inconsistencies. I'd expect a clear outcome, so betting on Cobolli to win seems wise.

94%
Stable · last 24h

32%
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93%
Stable · last 24h

25%
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48%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
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