Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?

15%
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63%
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YES if the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (DGAE or official press office) publicly posts, on its official Concurso de Selección de Licenciatura 2026 microsite or via an official UNAM press release, final admission lists or an official announcement assigning the vacancy places resulting from the 'Examen de Control Presencial' no later than 11:59 PM on August 25, 2026 (Mexico City time). YES also if at least two independent Mexican national news outlets report UNAM's official publication by that time. Provisional shortlists explicitly labelled 'provisionales' by UNAM do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's likely they will publish the final admission lists. With two weeks left before the deadline, UNAM typically doesn't miss these important announcements.

15%
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20%
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40%
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26%
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28%
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59%
Stable · last 24h
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