Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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68%
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YES if no later than August 31, 2026 either FC Barcelona or Paris Saint‑Germain publishes a first‑party announcement (an article on the club's official site or a verified club press release) stating Ferran Torres has joined Paris Saint‑Germain, or if the relevant national league's official player‑registration list shows Ferran Torres registered to PSG by that date. Loans count if the club announcement or league registration shows he joined PSG on loan or on loan‑with‑obligation. Agreements in principle, media rumours, or unofficial reports without a club announcement or league registration do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only 18 days left, PSG still hasn't made any moves for Torres that count. Unless something changes fast, this looks unlikely. I wouldn't bet on it happening.

94%
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71%
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68%
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50%
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40%
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56%
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