Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official match result records F. Marozsan and D. Medvedev as the winners of the doubles match against H. Nys and E. Roger‑Vasselin at the 2026 National Bank Open, scheduled to start at 2:00 PM on August 8, 2026 in Toronto. An official retirement or walkover in favour of Marozsan/Medvedev counts as a win, but if the match is removed from the tournament draw and no official winner is assigned the market resolves NO. Preferred sources are the National Bank Open official results or ATP/WTA official match records, with mainstream coverage (ESPN, AP, Reuters) acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMarozsan and Medvedev are strong contenders here. With the amount of talent they have, I expect them to take the win against Nys and Roger-Vasselin.

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21%
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86%
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61%
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50%
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56%
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