Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 21YES if Evil Dead Burn is listed at rank 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 on Box Office Mojo's weekend chart for the July 17–19, 2026 weekend (2026W29), otherwise NO. A tie that occupies a rank within 1–5 on that chart resolves YES. If Box Office Mojo has not published the 2026W29 weekend chart by 12:00 PM on July 21, 2026 Eastern Time, the market will be resolved using Box Office Mojo's first official published weekend chart for 2026W29 once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: 'Evil Dead Burn is listed at Rank 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026). A tie occupying a rank within 1–5 also counts as YES.' Target/window: Weekend Jul 17–19, 2026 (2026W29); BOM publication deadline 2026-07-21T12:00:00-04:00. Observed evidence: Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026) (the supplied page) lists 'Evil Dead Burn' at Rank 5 (row: Rank 5 | Evil Dead Burn | $5,000,000 ...). Comparison: Rank 5 is within 1–5, so the market condition is satisfied. The chart is present on Box Office Mojo prior to/at the market's resolution, so no fallback is needed.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledhell yes, horror fans are loyal! plus, who doesn’t wanna see some supernatural chaos in theaters? 🎃

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