🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
80%
+41% last 24h
2384 bets · 73.6K credits8
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ScienceResults Aug 1
Will ESA’s SMILE mission return its first ultraviolet aurora imagery by end of July 2026?
55%
Stable · last 24h
📊 10 bettors💎 167 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 1🤖 Context
YES: ESA publishes the first ultraviolet aurora imagery from the SMILE spacecraft on or before July 31, 2026. NO: No such imagery is published by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 55%
- Predictions made
- 10
- Credits staked
- 167
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 28, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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