Will ESA’s Hera spacecraft arrive at asteroid Didymos by end of November 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if ESA’s Hera mission successfully reaches and begins operations at the Didymos–Dimorphos binary asteroid system on or before November 30, 2026, as confirmed by ESA’s official mission updates. NO if it does not.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

59

Comments

0

Opened

May 30, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 9 predictions and 59 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will ESA’s Hera spacecraft arrive at asteroid Didymos by end of November 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will ESA’s Hera spacecraft arrive at asteroid Didymos by end of November 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.