🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 15
Will the U.S. carry out one or more direct kinetic strikes on targets in Iran's territory or territorial waters?
83%
Stable · last 24h
315 bets · 8.2K credits1
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 24
Will Emmanuel Grégoire have filed a criminal complaint for defamation against Rachida Dati on behalf of the City of Paris before July 24?
33%
Stable · last 24h
📊 105 bettors💎 2.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 24🤖 Context
YES if the City of Paris publishes an official press release on its website or an official post on its verified social-media accounts that explicitly states Emmanuel Grégoire filed a formal criminal complaint for defamation against Rachida Dati on behalf of the City of Paris on or before 6:00 PM on July 24, 2026, otherwise NO. If the City publishes a statement that a complaint was filed but does not name Emmanuel Grégoire as the filer acting on behalf of the City of Paris, resolve NO. Media reports alone do not qualify and resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 33%
- Predictions made
- 105
- Credits staked
- 2,783
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 17, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 31, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 2 comments
- 🔥@maydrickBet Yes· 100 💎
Statement not followed by effect...
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 29 💎
franchement, ça m'étonnerait. Grégoire, il a d'autres chats à fouetter. y'aura pas de plainte avant juillet, on parie ? 😅
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