Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets on X?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts fewer than 40 main‑feed posts, quote‑posts, or reposts on X from 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on August 26, 2026, otherwise NO. Replies do not count, though replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker may be counted, and deleted posts count only if they were publicly available long enough to be captured (≈5 minutes). The preferred authoritative source is the 'Post Counter' total for @elonmusk reported by Polymarket's X tracker and the mirrored Polymarket event page, with archived timestamps or mainstream reporting accepted to corroborate.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

35%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

180

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 24, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 28, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 35% and NO 65%, based on 8 predictions and 180 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets on X?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets on X?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.