Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X over the 3-day window?

🤖 Context

YES if Polymarket's Post Counter/tracker shows Elon Musk (@elonmusk) made strictly fewer than 40 main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts on X during the inclusive window from 12:00 PM ET on August 20, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on August 22, 2026. Replies do not count unless the tracker records them as main-feed items. Deleted posts count only if captured by the tracker. Community reposts not captured by the tracker do not count. Authoritative sources: Polymarket's Post Counter/tracker and the Polymarket event page. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

68%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

15

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 68% and NO 32%, based on 1 prediction and 15 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X over the 3-day window?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X over the 3-day window?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.