Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

🤖 Context

YES if Elon Musk's public X account (@elonmusk) has fewer than 40 qualifying posts between 12:00 PM ET on September 5, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on September 7, 2026, inclusive. Qualifying posts are main‑feed posts, quote posts, and reposts; replies do not count. Deleted posts count only if captured by public trackers in time, and resolution will use the Polymarket 'Post Counter' event and Elon Musk's public X timeline, supplemented by archival trackers and contemporaneous reporting.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 42 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

48%

Predictions made

42

Credits staked

934

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 48% and NO 52%, based on 42 predictions and 934 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.