Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

58%
+14% last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 31YES if, according to Polymarket's official resolution of its mirrored market using Polymarket's 'Post Counter' tracker, Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts between 65 and 89 times inclusive on X during the measurement window from 12:00 PM ET on July 27, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on July 29, 2026. Counts include main feed posts, quote posts and reposts and exclude replies, deleted posts count if captured by the tracker, community reposts not captured by the tracker do not count. If the mirrored Polymarket market is definitively cancelled this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: This market resolves YES if Polymarket's official resolution of the mirrored market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?' is YES — i.e., Polymarket's 'Post Counter' found Elon Musk posted between 65 and 89 times inclusive during the measurement window July 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET through July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET (counts include main feed posts, quote posts and reposts; replies excluded; deleted posts count if captured). Observed value: The supplied Polymarket official market state shows the submarket 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?' — resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=1, No=0 (i.e. Polymarket resolved YES). Comparison and conclusion: Because this market resolves identically to Polymarket's official resolution and Polymarket resolved YES for that submarket, this market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
58%
+14% last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h
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