🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Sep 15
Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
70%
+2% last 24h
420 bets · 11.6K credits1
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CultureOpened Jul 28 · Results Aug 2
Will Elon Musk post 220–239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
29%
Stable · last 24h
📊 395 bettors💎 9.5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 2🤖 Context
YES if the total number of main‑feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X from 12:00 PM ET on July 24, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on July 31, 2026 is between 220 and 239 inclusive according to the Polymarket event 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?'. Replies do NOT count toward the total, except replies visible on the main feed which the tracker may count. Deleted posts count only if captured by the tracker, and community reposts not counted by the tracker do not count. Otherwise NO. This market resolves identically to the official resolution of the mirrored Polymarket market.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Polymarket must report that the total number of main‑feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by @elonmusk on X from 12:00 PM ET on 2026-07-24 through 12:00 PM ET on 2026-07-31 is between 220 and 239 inclusive. Observed data (Polymarket official market state in the supplied data): the submarket 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?' is resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1. A resolved submarket with No=1 means the official Polymarket resolution for that range was NO (the count was not in 220–239). The market text ties resolution to Polymarket's official resolution, so the correct settlement here is NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 29%
- Predictions made
- 395
- Credits staked
- 9,516
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 28, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 2, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠
of course he will 😂 dude can tweet like he's in a competition. 220 tweets? that’s just a warm-up for elon!
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