Will new U.S. sanctions explicitly linked to the Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities be announced?

43%
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50%
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Resolves YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, credible reporting by two or more independent mainstream news outlets (for example AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo, Reuters) or a public press release from one of the named individuals or from Hervé Morin states that at least one of Edouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Gabriel Attal, or David Lisnard has publicly accepted Hervé Morin's charter or has publicly committed to participate in a right/centre primary organized under that charter. Otherwise it resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 43 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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43%
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28%
Stable · last 24h

80%
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