Will donations reported to Reform UK, including from Christopher Harborne or Ben Delo, prompt a public formal investigation by a UK regulator or police force?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, two or more independent reputable UK news organisations report that a named UK regulator, police force, or national law‑enforcement agency has publicly announced it has opened a formal investigation specifically into donations reported to Reform UK, including donations from Christopher Harborne, Ben Delo, or other named donors. Examples of relevant agencies include the Electoral Commission, the National Crime Agency, or a named police force. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 17, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 2, 2027

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will donations reported to Reform UK, including from Christopher Harborne or Ben Delo, prompt a public formal investigation by a UK regulator or police force?” real-money betting?

No. “Will donations reported to Reform UK, including from Christopher Harborne or Ben Delo, prompt a public formal investigation by a UK regulator or police force?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.