Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

73%
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60%
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YES if VoteHub's published national 30-day trailing "Approve" average for Donald Trump for September 9, 2026 is strictly greater than 38.0% (>38.0%). Otherwise NO. Use the single "Approve" percentage shown by VoteHub for that date; if VoteHub displays a one-decimal rounded figure, use that published rounded number. If VoteHub does not publish the 30-day trailing national approval average for that date, the most widely reported national job-approval percentage from other public polling aggregators will be used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 19 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTrump's current approval at 38.3% is barely above the threshold. With only two weeks to go, it's likely he'll slip back below 38% again by September 9.

73%
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57%
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40%
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44%
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66%
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53%
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