🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
70%
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PoliticsOpened Jul 21 · Results Aug 5
Will Donald Trump have an approval rating above 40% on August 4, 2026?
58%
Stable · last 24h
📊 263 bettors💎 11.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 5🤖 Context
YES if VoteHub's polls page shows the trailing 30-day 'Approve' average for 'Donald Trump's job approval' on August 4, 2026 as strictly greater than 40.0%. If that metric is 40.0% or lower, the market resolves NO. If VoteHub does not display a numeric trailing 30-day 'Approve' average for that metric on August 4, 2026, the market is VOID.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No58%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Premise (VoteHub market source): The VoteHub “Do Americans approve of Donald Trump?” page shows a Live, time-weighted average with Approve: 37.9% (source: votehub.com/polls/). Premise (same page): The polls listed that feed this average have field dates ranging from July 6 to August 3, i.e., within the 30 days ending August 4, 2026, indicating the active average is based on the trailing ~30-day window. Inference: The trailing 30‑day Approve average on August 4, 2026 is the live Approve value shown, 37.9%. Conclusion: 37.9% is not strictly greater than 40.0%, so the answer is NO.
Source: votehub.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 58%
- Predictions made
- 263
- Credits staked
- 11,104
- Comments
- 5
- Opened
- Jul 21, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 5, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- votehub.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 5 comments
- 🔥@maydrick💠Bet No· 100 💎
Tough for him, he keeps falling right now!
- 🚀@kiks.star🥇Bet No· 100 💎
Let’sgo
- 🚀@kiks.star🥇Bet No· 100 💎
We'll see
- 🚀@kiks.star🥇Bet No· 100 💎
It's not going to happen
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 1 💎
nah, there's no way he stays above 40%. people are fickle, and by 2026, who even knows what chaos will be going on? 😂
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