Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

🤖 Context

This market resolves YES if Kalshi's corresponding market is finalized with an official outcome of YES. Under Kalshi's rules that corresponds to DeepSeek scoring above 23.5% on OpenRouter's AI Market Share ranking by model author for the week of August 31, 2026, using OpenRouter's Monday 10:00 AM ET updated values. Otherwise it resolves NO. If OpenRouter lists the named model author under "Others" or does not separately identify the author, the outcome is NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 38 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

38

Credits staked

968

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 38 predictions and 968 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?” real-money betting?

No. “Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.