Will Tom Cruise be in GoldDerby's top 5 for Best Actor?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 24YES if Cristiano Ronaldo or an authorized representative issues a public statement no later than August 23, 2026 that explicitly denies Marisa Jara's claim that he had a romantic relationship with Gabriela Guillén. An explicit denial must clearly say he 'did not', 'never', 'it is false', 'I deny' or substantially equivalent wording. Counts are press releases, interviews quoted by a recognized national or international news outlet, or published quotes in such outlets. 'No comment', 'I don't recall', silence, private messages, and social media posts that are not republished or quoted by recognized news organizations do not count. The market resolves based on reports from recognized national or international news outlets or major wire services, for example Reuters, Associated Press, EFE, BBC, or El País.
How markets are built and settled29%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the timeframe and Ronaldo's history with public denials, I doubt we see a strong rebuttal before the deadline. It's a clear pass on this one.

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