Will MrBeast be #1 on the Top 50 YouTube chart for the week ending August 16?

94%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Cristiano Ronaldo or an authorized representative issues a public statement no later than August 23, 2026 that explicitly denies Marisa Jara's claim that he had a romantic relationship with Gabriela Guillén. An explicit denial must clearly say he 'did not', 'never', 'it is false', 'I deny' or substantially equivalent wording. Counts are press releases, interviews quoted by a recognized national or international news outlet, or published quotes in such outlets. 'No comment', 'I don't recall', silence, private messages, and social media posts that are not republished or quoted by recognized news organizations do not count. The market resolves based on reports from recognized national or international news outlets or major wire services, for example Reuters, Associated Press, EFE, BBC, or El País.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 20minutos.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 25 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeframe and Ronaldo's history with public denials, I doubt we see a strong rebuttal before the deadline. It's a clear pass on this one.

94%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

86%
+2% last 24h

62%
-5% last 24h

58%
+2% last 24h

41%
-2% last 24h
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