Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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64%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20This market will resolve to 'YES' if Cordell Tinch wins the men's 110m hurdles event at the Novuna London Athletics Meet on July 18, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if he does not win the event.
How markets are built and settled64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Official timing/results for the Novuna London Athletics Meet (18 Jul 2026) show Ja'Kobe Tharp won the men's 110m hurdles (12.89) while Cordell Tinch finished 5th (13.17). Independent meet reports (LetsRun) report the same finishing order, so Tinch did not win the event.
Source: omegatiming.comSources used to resolve this market
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