Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Coco Gauff is officially listed among the four semifinalists of the WTA 1000 tournament in Toronto in the tournament's official results, on the WTA's official results page, or in major wire-service reporting such as Reuters, AP, or L'Équipe. An advancement recorded as a walkover or retirement counts as YES. If the tournament is canceled before the semifinalists are determined, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 80 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGauff's been in strong form lately, and with five days until betting closes, she has a good shot at making the semifinals. I'd say she's likely to advance.

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60%
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59%
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77%
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42%
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