Will claude-opus-5-high be the top AI model on August 24?

🤖 Context

YES if claude-opus-5-high is ranked first on the LM Arena Leaderboard with the "Remove Style Control" toggle enabled at 10:00 AM ET on August 24, 2026. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), the model with the higher Arena Score wins. If still tied, the model with more votes wins. If still tied, the model released earlier wins. Settlement will follow Kalshi's finalized YES or NO result for this market.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 75 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

75

Credits staked

2,223

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 22, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 24, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 75 predictions and 2.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will claude-opus-5-high be the top AI model on August 24?” real-money betting?

No. “Will claude-opus-5-high be the top AI model on August 24?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.