Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

93%
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54%
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YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, Anthropic publishes an explicit public statement on its official support or pricing pages, in a blog post, or in a press release that unambiguously states Claude Agent SDK usage will be billed at Anthropic API rates, i.e., charged at API pricing rather than included within standard Claude subscription weekly or monthly caps. Mainstream news reporting that cites Anthropic's public documentation or press release also counts. Ambiguous language such as "may be billed", "we're exploring billing options", or statements limited to a private pilot or named partner accounts resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAnthropic has 54 days to clarify pricing. Given the ambiguity in their current statements, I doubt we'll see a definitive announcement. So, it won't happen.

93%
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23%
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35%
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29%
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44%
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86%
+3% last 24h
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