Will ChatGPT have a partial or full outage?

🤖 Context

YES if OpenAI's ChatGPT has any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' no later than August 31, 2026 (ET) according to the OpenAI Status Page. A qualifying incident must appear as a red historical-status box for that calendar day and must explicitly list 'ChatGPT' under 'Affected components'. Yellow or degraded-performance entries do not count. Contemporary reporting from major tech outlets may be used as corroboration if the status page entry has been altered or is unavailable. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 26%, based on 31 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

26%

Predictions made

31

Credits staked

760

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 26% and NO 74%, based on 31 predictions and 760 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will ChatGPT have a partial or full outage?” real-money betting?

No. “Will ChatGPT have a partial or full outage?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.