Will Ceuta have at least 1,500 temporary reception places operational and accepting migrants?

🤖 Context

YES if at least 1,500 distinct temporary reception places (beds or capacity spots intended to provide shelter and basic assistance to migrants) were operational in Ceuta and were accepting migrants no later than 12:00 on August 20, 2026, as reported by two or more independent Spanish news outlets. Reports that only announce planned or allocated places that were not yet operational and accepting migrants by that time count as NO. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 10 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

10

Credits staked

347

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 18, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 20, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 10 predictions and 347 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ceuta have at least 1,500 temporary reception places operational and accepting migrants?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ceuta have at least 1,500 temporary reception places operational and accepting migrants?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.