SportsResults Sep 4

Will Casper Ruud be entered into the US Open men's singles main draw as a lucky loser?

34%

-7% last 24h

📊 15 bettors💎 786 at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Sep 4

🤖 Context

The rule required an authoritative source to show Casper Ruud was added to the 2026 US Open men's singles main draw explicitly as a 'lucky loser' no later than September 3, 2026 New York local time. Reuters, the ATP Tour, the US Open and ESPN report that Ruud withdrew and was replaced in the main draw by Arthur Géa, who is explicitly listed as a 'lucky loser', and that change was announced on August 30, 2026. Because Ruud was not added or labeled as a lucky loser and was instead withdrawn and replaced, the condition for a yes is not met, so the market resolves no.

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How this market resolved

34%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Casper Ruud withdrew from the 2026 US Open men’s singles and was replaced in the main draw by Arthur Géa, who is explicitly designated as a “lucky loser.” Reuters, the ATP Tour site and the US Open’s official X post all state Ruud pulled out and Arthur Géa took his place as a lucky loser; ESPN’s report describes the same replacement. None of the provided sources show Ruud being entered or labeled as a lucky loser. The replacement/withdrawal occurred on 2026-08-30, which is before the market’s Sept 3, 2026 cutoff, so the answer is NO.

Source: reuters.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 34%
Predictions made: 15
Credits staked: 786
Comments: 1
Opened: Sep 3, 2026
Closes: Sep 3, 2026
Resolved: Sep 4, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: reuters.com, atptour.com, x.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

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💬 1 comment

👽
@aldeiadorioBet No· 100 💎
Not impossible, he withdrew, he can no longer join the draw.
Sep 3

87 bets · 3K credits1

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