Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

20%
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81%
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Resolves YES if, on the resolution date, Carlos Alcaraz is listed among the eight players named as the men's singles quarterfinalists for the 2026 US Open on the tournament's official draw/results page or an equivalent official publication, otherwise NO. A walkover or retirement that places Alcaraz into the quarterfinals counts if recorded by those official sources. If the men's singles event is not completed or is cancelled before the quarterfinal lineup is determined, the market will be settled according to the final official statement by the US Open organisers and the ATP Tour.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 65 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAlcaraz should make it to the quarterfinals. His current form and ranking put him in a strong position, and key competitors seem vulnerable at this stage.

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21%
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86%
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53%
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76%
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