Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Carlos Alcaraz is recorded in the official 2026 US Open men's singles main-draw match results as having started at least one singles match during the 2026 US Open, otherwise NO. Official sources include the US Open / United States Tennis Association match results and draws and the ATP official match records, with mainstream independent reporting used to corroborate. If the 2026 US Open is not held, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 52 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI don't think so...
Alcaraz will definitely play at least one match in 2026. He's proven too solid to miss this major event, and the growing hype around him makes his participation almost certain.

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