Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

77%
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89%
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YES if Carlos Alcaraz wins the Shelton vs Alcaraz match in the 2026 US Open men's singles quarterfinal after at least one point has been played. NO otherwise. The market resolves according to the ATP's official match result, preferably the ATP Tour. Ordinary coverage by reputable sports outlets reporting the official match result is also acceptable. If the match does not start and the tournament records a walkover, forfeit, or cancellation before any point is played, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 105 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAlcaraz has shown consistent dominance in his matches. Given his current form, he's likely to take down Shelton without much trouble.

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