Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Carlos Alcaraz's name appears on the official men's singles main draw published by the US Open organisers for the 2026 tournament, otherwise NO. The main draw includes direct acceptances, published wildcards, protected‑ranking entries, and qualifiers as shown on that official draw. Authoritative sources are the US Open's official draw and the ATP Tour's official draw/tournament pages, with corroboration available from major sports wires.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith his current form and backing from major tournaments, Alcaraz should definitely be in the main draw. Bet on YES; his inclusion is almost guaranteed given the time frame.

93%
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43%
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59%
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49%
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19%
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79%
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