Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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59%
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YES if the official 2026 US Open draw or match-results pages list Carlos Alcaraz and Serena Williams as a mixed-doubles team and show at least one mixed doubles match where they are partners and play began (the official match record shows a score with at least one game or point played, or a retirement after play began), no later than the end of the 2026 US Open. The official US Open / USTA draw and match-results pages are the primary sources for resolution. If they withdraw before any point is played or no mixed doubles match with both players is recorded by that time, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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94%
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67%
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45%
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55%
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43%
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52%
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