Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

28%
+4% last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 4The market required that, by 12:00 (UTC+2) on 4 September 2026, Liverpool FC or Paris Saint-Germain publish an official club announcement explicitly stating Bradley Barcola 'has signed for', 'joins', or 'is a Liverpool player', for either a permanent transfer or a loan. Both clubs published such official statements on 31 August 2026: Liverpool's website announced they had completed Barcola's signing and that he signed a long‑term contract, and Paris Saint-Germain's site likewise announced that Barcola had joined Liverpool FC. Those club statements meet the market's rule and were published before the deadline, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled97%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 97% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence includes official club announcements stating Barcola has joined Liverpool. Liverpool FC's official site (published 31 August 2026) says “Liverpool have completed the signing of Bradley Barcola … The French forward put pen to paper on a long-term contract…”, and PSG’s official site (31 August 2026) headline and text state that Bradley Barcola “has joined Liverpool FC” / “BRADLEY BARCOLA SIGNS FOR LIVERPOOL FC.” Both are explicit, official announcements and were published before the 2026-09-04 12:00 (UTC+2) cutoff.
Source: liverpoolfc.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
28%
+4% last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

59%
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70%
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33%
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