Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

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87%
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YES if, during the official 2026 Italian Grand Prix race at Autodromo Nazionale Monza on 6 September 2026, both Ferrari entries that took the official race start are shown in broadcast or official photographic evidence to be running the Michael Schumacher tribute race livery (the special paint scheme announced by Ferrari that includes Schumacher's logo, seven stars and gold-accent elements) on their racing cars at any time during the official race. NO otherwise. If one or both Ferrari cars did not take the official race start (DNS), the market resolves NO. Primary resolution sources include Formula1.com and the FIA race/photo galleries, but mainstream news agencies and published broadcast images and official team photos (for example Reuters, AP, AFP, ESPN) are also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 43 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledFerrari's going all out for Schumacher on this tribute. They've committed to it, and the hype around this event makes it likely both cars will wear the livery during the race.

22%
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69%
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46%
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60%
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79%
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60%
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