Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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55%
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YES if, during TechCrunch Disrupt 2026 (October 13–15, 2026), both Anthropic and OpenAI each have at least one session listed on TechCrunch’s official AI-stage programme and at least one representative from each company participates in those AI-stage sessions (in person or remotely), as shown on TechCrunch’s official event schedule or the event livestream/archival video. Appearances only on other stages, at off-site partner events, private meetings, or as exhibitors do not count. If one or both companies are removed from or cancel their AI-stage session before or during the event, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBoth Anthropic and OpenAI are likely to show up at TechCrunch Disrupt. They need visibility, and this is a prime opportunity for both to engage with the community.

91%
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63%
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76%
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67%
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64%
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18%
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