Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the Tag Heuer Spanish Grand Prix?

71%
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43%
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YES if Kalshi's market for the Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton match is finalized with outcome Yes, corresponding to Ben Shelton winning the 2026 US Open men's singles semifinal after a ball has been played. NO if that Kalshi market is finalized with outcome No. The match result should be confirmable from ATP or US Open official reports or major outlets like ESPN or Fox Sports. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market will be settled according to Kalshi's rules. If the match is postponed, the market stays open and will close after any rescheduled match finishes (typically within two weeks).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBen Shelton has the momentum and skill to take down Tiafoe in this semifinal. Expect a tight match, but Shelton's recent form gives him the edge.

71%
+4% last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

58%
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67%
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69%
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18%
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