Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if for the All Blacks v Stormers match played in Cape Town on 7 August 2026 the official match‑day starting XV lists Beauden Barrett as a starting player at fly‑half, explicitly shown as wearing jersey number 10 or listed at the fly‑half position, and contemporaneous official match documentation or match reports confirm he took the field at kickoff. Preferred authoritative sources are the All Blacks' official match report or team sheet, the Stormers' or SANZAAR official team sheet. Ordinary independent reports (L'Équipe, AFP, BBC, ESPN, Reuters) are also acceptable. If the match was postponed or cancelled and no match was played on 7 August 2026, the market resolves NO.
Sources used to create this market
It's highly conceivable
Barrett is the leading fly-half for the All Blacks, so unless there’s a late injury, he’s likely starting. The official team sheet will confirm it soon enough.

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